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Dorian hurricane track models
Dorian hurricane track models







dorian hurricane track models

This change in the steering pattern should cause Dorian to slow down even more and perhaps stall, before it turns to the northwest late Monday or early Tuesday. The ridge to the north of Dorian is gradually weakening and shifting eastward in response to a mid- to upper-level trough that is moving across the eastern U.S. The aircraft data also indicated that the radii of tropical-storm-force winds are a little larger than they were earlier today.ĭorian is still moving slowly westward at about 5 kt. The initial intensity of Dorian is set at 155 kt based mostly on the SFMR winds from the aircraft. Doppler radar data from Miami and the Bahamas show that Dorian has developed concentric eyewalls, and this feature is also noted by a double wind maximum that is evident in data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters. Satellite images show an symmetrical cyclone with a circular 10 n mi diameter eye and intense eyewall convection with lots of lightning being detected. NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019ĭorian remains an incredibly powerful hurricane and it is currently making landfall on the eastern end of Grand Bahama Island. Heavy rains, capable of producing life-threatening flash floods, are expected over northern portions of the Bahamas and coastal sections of the southeast and lower mid-Atlantic regions of the United States through late this week. Residents in these areas should continue to monitor the progress of Dorian and listen to advice given by local emergency officials.Ĥ. There is an increasing likelihood of strong winds and dangerous storm surge along the coasts of Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina later this week. Residents should listen to advice given by local emergency officials.ģ. Only a slight deviation to the left of the official forecast would bring the core of Dorian near or over the Florida east coast. Life-threatening storm surges and dangerous hurricane-force winds are expected along portions of the Florida east coast through mid-week, and storm surge and hurricane warnings are in effect. Everyone there should take immediate shelter and not venture into the eye.Ģ. A prolonged period of catastrophic winds and storm surge will affect the Abaco Islands and Grand Bahama Island for several more hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 914 mb (26.99 inches).ġ. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from thecenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). Regardless, Dorian isexpected to remain a powerful hurricane during the next few days. Slow weakening is forecast, but fluctuations in intensity could occur couple of days. Dorian is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Maximum sustained winds are near 180 mph (285 km/h) with higher gusts. The hurricane will move dangerously close to the Florida east coast late Monday through Tuesday night. On this track, the core of extremely dangerous Hurricane Dorian will continue to pound Great Abaco and Grand Bahama islands overnight and through much of Monday. A slower westward to west-northwestward motion is forecast during the next day or so, followed by a gradual turn toward the northwest. Dorian is moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h). * North of Golden Beach to Deerfield BeachĪt 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dorian was located near latitude 26.6 North, longitude 77.9 West. * North of Deerfield Beach to Jupiter InletĪ Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for… * Jupiter Inlet to the Volusia/Brevard County Line * Northwestern Bahamas excluding Andros Island * Volusia/Brevard County Line to the Mouth of the St. * Lantana to the Volusia/Brevard County Line SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…914 MB…26.99 INCHES PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 275 DEGREES AT 6 MPH…9 KM/H

dorian hurricane track models

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATIONĪBOUT 55 MI…90 KM E OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLANDĪBOUT 135 MI…220 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA

dorian hurricane track models

Here is the latest from the NHC: 9/1/19 11PM five-day forecast from the NHC // Courtesy: It is slowly coming to a stop and is still anticipated to turn north. Hurricane Dorian continues to track – slowly – to the west.









Dorian hurricane track models